What if I had invested $100 a month in the Shanghai Composite
Investing a fixed amount every month, whatever the price: that is dollar-cost averaging. Here is what this strategy would have done in the Shanghai Composite, depending on the year you started.
Since December 2003, the Shanghai Composite (a Chinese stock index) returned only +5.0% a year in dollar terms, +205.1% over nearly 23 years. For a monthly investor, 89% of the 275 monthly purchases made since December 2003 were below today's price.
Data: Yahoo Finance monthly closing prices, up to date as of (latest update November 4, 2026) MethodAuthor: Yann Avondo
If I had invested $100 every month in the Shanghai Composite since January 2016, today I would have $15,464
Over the same period
Worst moment: −34.1% between January 2018 and December 2018. To get this result, you had to hold on without selling.
Shanghai Composite (China) at a glance
The Shanghai Composite covers every stock listed on the Shanghai exchange. Dominated by banks and state-owned companies, it went through two spectacular bubbles, in 2007 and 2015, and remains far below its records despite China’s growth.
Its worst fall, 68.3% in dollar terms between October 2007 and October 2008, has not been erased yet: the October 2007 peak is still out of reach. Against the MSCI World, this calculator's yardstick (+7.0% a year in dollar terms over the same period), the Shanghai Composite did worse. Its best calendar year was 2006 (+138.4%), its worst 2008 (−63.0%); in all, 12 up years out of 22.
$100 a month in the Shanghai Composite, by start year
One contribution at the start of each month since January of the given year, valued at the latest price. Click a year for the full story.
| Start | Invested | Worth today | Multiple | Annual IRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2,300 | $2,399 | ×1.04 | +4.3% | |
| $3,500 | $3,958 | ×1.13 | +8.4% | |
| $4,700 | $5,432 | ×1.16 | +7.3% | |
| $5,900 | $6,814 | ×1.15 | +5.8% | |
| $7,100 | $8,032 | ×1.13 | +4.1% | |
| $8,300 | $9,538 | ×1.15 | +4.0% | |
| $9,500 | $11,130 | ×1.17 | +3.9% | |
| $10,700 | $12,613 | ×1.18 | +3.6% | |
| $11,900 | $14,002 | ×1.18 | +3.2% | |
| $13,100 | $15,464 | ×1.18 | +3.0% | |
| $14,300 | $16,629 | ×1.16 | +2.5% | |
| $15,500 | $18,508 | ×1.19 | +2.7% | |
| $16,700 | $20,372 | ×1.22 | +2.8% | |
| $17,900 | $22,276 | ×1.24 | +2.9% | |
| $19,100 | $23,880 | ×1.25 | +2.7% | |
| $20,300 | $25,475 | ×1.25 | +2.6% | |
| $21,500 | $27,264 | ×1.27 | +2.6% | |
| $22,700 | $28,865 | ×1.27 | +2.5% | |
| $23,900 | $30,186 | ×1.26 | +2.3% | |
| $25,100 | $33,676 | ×1.34 | +2.7% | |
| $26,300 | $38,401 | ×1.46 | +3.3% | |
| $27,500 | $42,118 | ×1.53 | +3.5% |
Lump sum or DCA in the Shanghai Composite?
Since January 2016, investing in the Shanghai Composite all at once (lump sum) multiplied the stake by ×1.01, +0.1% a year. Investing every month (DCA) multiplied the total contributions by ×1.18, an annual return (IRR) of +3.0%.
Here DCA did better: spreading the purchases avoided putting all the money in at the wrong time.
Frequently asked questions
How much would I have if I had invested $100 a month in the Shanghai Composite for 10 years?
Investing $100 every month since January 2016, $13,100 in total, would be worth about $15,464 today: an annual return (IRR) of +3.0% (price only, in the displayed currency).
What if I had started investing $100 a month in the Shanghai Composite in 2015?
Since January 2015, $14,300 invested in total would be worth about $16,629 today (IRR of +2.5% a year).
What if I had started investing $100 a month in the Shanghai Composite in 2020?
Since January 2020, $8,300 invested in total would be worth about $9,538 today (IRR of +4.0% a year).
Is investing monthly better than investing all at once?
Historically, investing a lump sum right away returns more in most cases, because markets rise more often than they fall. But monthly investing smooths the purchase price, protects against the worst timing and matches how people actually save: from their paycheck, month after month.
How is the annual return calculated?
With spread-out contributions, the multiple of the amount invested does not tell the whole story: the last dollars had only a few months to grow. The IRR (internal rate of return) is the average annual return that, applied to each contribution from its date, produces the final value.
Compare with
Before you have regrets
What this calculation does not tell you.
Hindsight bias
Picking Nvidia or Bitcoin today means picking known winners. Back then, nothing set them apart from hundreds of assets that went nowhere or vanished.
Holding on was the real test
The result assumes you never sold, including through the drawdowns shown above. Very few investors actually do.
The broad market, no bet required
The MSCI World never makes headlines, but it does not require guessing the winner. It is the fairest yardstick for any pick.
Method: past performance, computed from split-adjusted monthly closing prices (intra-month lows are smoothed out). Converted at each month’s exchange rate; no fees, no taxes. The MSCI World benchmark is the price index, excluding dividends. Sources: Yahoo Finance (prices, exchange rates, US Treasury bills), Eurostat (inflation), published regulated rates (Livret A). Not investment advice. NokxiHub.