What if I had invested in Nvidia
Every lump sum scenario for Nvidia, start year by start year, using real prices and each month's exchange rate.
Over nearly 23 years since December 2003, Nvidia, a stock listed on Wall Street, multiplied its value by 1,061 in dollar terms: an annualized return of +35.5%. Over the period, its monthly close ranged from a low of $0.104 (August 2004) to a high of $228 (September 2026), split-adjusted. A lump sum invested in any month since December 2003 would be showing a gain today in 98% of cases.
Data: Yahoo Finance monthly closing prices, up to date as of (latest update November 4, 2026) MethodAuthor: Yann Avondo
If I had invested $1,000 as a lump sum in Nvidia in January 2016, today I would have $248,853
Over the same period
Worst moment: −62.9% between November 2021 and September 2022. To get this result, you had to hold on without selling.
Nvidia at a glance
Nvidia invented the modern graphics card for gaming before becoming the essential supplier of the chips that train artificial intelligence. Its stock went through several drops of more than 50% before its surge.
Its worst fall, 79.4% in dollar terms between September 2007 and November 2008, was only erased in May 2016, 8 years and 8 months after the peak. Year-to-year swings are extreme: +238.9% in 2023, −76.3% in 2008. Of 22 full calendar years, 16 ended higher. Against the MSCI World, this calculator's yardstick (+7.0% a year in dollar terms over the same period), Nvidia left it far behind.
$1,000 invested in Nvidia, by start year
Bought in January, valued at the latest price. Click a year for the full story.
| Start | Worth today | Multiple | Per year |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1,527 | ×1.53 | +24.7% | |
| $4,141 | ×4.14 | +62.8% | |
| $14,031 | ×14 | +96.3% | |
| $6,972 | ×6.97 | +48.4% | |
| $15,707 | ×16 | +59.3% | |
| $34,858 | ×35 | +67.1% | |
| $61,440 | ×61 | +68.2% | |
| $42,389 | ×42 | +52.2% | |
| $76,843 | ×77 | +54.9% | |
| $248,853 | ×249 | +65.8% | |
| $409,087 | ×409 | +65.6% | |
| $511,998 | ×512 | +62.1% | |
| $669,021 | ×669 | +59.6% | |
| $591,789 | ×592 | +53.4% | |
| $532,610 | ×533 | +48.4% | |
| $439,090 | ×439 | +43.3% | |
| $1,016,382 | ×1,016 | +47.2% | |
| $241,099 | ×241 | +33.6% | |
| $332,432 | ×332 | +33.8% | |
| $673,046 | ×673 | +36.5% | |
| $1,044,425 | ×1,044 | +37.3% | |
| $1,060,631 | ×1,061 | +35.5% |
Lump sum or DCA in Nvidia?
Since January 2016, investing in Nvidia all at once (lump sum) multiplied the stake by ×249, +65.8% a year. Investing every month (DCA) multiplied the total contributions by ×36, an annual return (IRR) of +61.1%.
Here the lump sum did better: money invested early rode the whole rise. That is the most common outcome on an asset that goes up.
Frequently asked questions
How much would $1,000 invested in Nvidia 10 years ago be worth today?
$1,000 invested in Nvidia in January 2016 would be worth about $248,853 today, an average annual return of +65.8% (price only, in the displayed currency).
What if I had invested $1,000 in Nvidia in 2015?
Invested in January 2015, $1,000 would be worth about $409,087 today, +65.6% a year on average.
What if I had invested $1,000 in Nvidia in 2020?
Invested in January 2020, $1,000 would be worth about $34,858 today, +67.1% a year on average.
What was the best year to invest in Nvidia?
Among the start years covered, 2004 gave the best result: $1,000 would have become $1,060,631. The weakest was 2025, worth $1,527 today. This ranking is only known with hindsight.
Are dividends included?
By default, the calculation follows the market price only. The "Reinvest dividends" option uses the adjusted price, which includes dividends paid and stock splits: the closest measure of what an investor actually earned.
Are exchange rates taken into account?
Yes. Nvidia trades in its own currency; every purchase and valuation is converted at that month's exchange rate. A US asset can gain in dollars and less in euros if the dollar weakened.
Are fees and taxes included?
No: results are before brokerage fees, fund fees and taxes. Your net result depends on the account you invest through.
Compare with
Before you have regrets
What this calculation does not tell you.
Hindsight bias
Picking Nvidia or Bitcoin today means picking known winners. Back then, nothing set them apart from hundreds of assets that went nowhere or vanished.
Holding on was the real test
The result assumes you never sold, including through the drawdowns shown above. Very few investors actually do.
The broad market, no bet required
The MSCI World never makes headlines, but it does not require guessing the winner. It is the fairest yardstick for any pick.
Method: past performance, computed from split-adjusted monthly closing prices (intra-month lows are smoothed out). Converted at each month’s exchange rate; no fees, no taxes. The MSCI World benchmark is the price index, excluding dividends. Sources: Yahoo Finance (prices, exchange rates, US Treasury bills), Eurostat (inflation), published regulated rates (Livret A). Not investment advice. NokxiHub.